Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001718 0.001833 0.001952 0.002085 0.002228 0.002379 0.002551
2025-01-05 0.001535 0.001695 0.001867 0.002068 0.002295 0.002545 0.002843
2025-01-12 0.001392 0.001576 0.001782 0.002028 0.002317 0.002647 0.003055
2025-01-19 0.001294 0.001496 0.001727 0.002011 0.002354 0.002758 0.003274
2025-01-26 0.001181 0.001388 0.001629 0.001932 0.002308 0.002760 0.003354
2025-02-02 0.001151 0.001375 0.001641 0.001984 0.002418 0.002955 0.003678
2025-02-09 0.001118 0.001355 0.001641 0.002018 0.002505 0.003121 0.003974
2025-02-16 0.001112 0.001367 0.001681 0.002102 0.002658 0.003379 0.004402
2025-02-23 0.001070 0.001331 0.001657 0.002101 0.002699 0.003489 0.004637
2025-03-02 0.001006 0.001264 0.001590 0.002039 0.002654 0.003479 0.004700
2025-03-09 0.000956 0.001212 0.001540 0.001998 0.002633 0.003501 0.004808
2025-03-16 0.000925 0.001184 0.001519 0.001994 0.002663 0.003591 0.005018
2025-03-23 0.000883 0.001142 0.001483 0.001973 0.002675 0.003669 0.005230
2025-03-30 0.000846 0.001106 0.001453 0.001959 0.002696 0.003761 0.005473
2025-04-06 0.000804 0.001061 0.001408 0.001922 0.002682 0.003800 0.005635
2025-04-13 0.000772 0.001029 0.001380 0.001906 0.002697 0.003882 0.005870
2025-04-20 0.000724 0.000973 0.001314 0.001832 0.002621 0.003820 0.005865
2025-04-27 0.000718 0.000974 0.001331 0.001881 0.002733 0.004054 0.006366
2025-05-04 0.000707 0.000968 0.001337 0.001912 0.002820 0.004254 0.006822
2025-05-11 0.000710 0.000982 0.001372 0.001991 0.002985 0.004589 0.007541
2025-05-18 0.000690 0.000963 0.001358 0.001991 0.003022 0.004715 0.007894
2025-05-25 0.000657 0.000922 0.001308 0.001933 0.002961 0.004672 0.007933
2025-06-01 0.000630 0.000890 0.001271 0.001894 0.002931 0.004678 0.008065